Key Points

Probability

14 Sections
  • Random Experiment and Sample Space

    A random experiment is an action with an uncertain outcome. The set of all possible outcomes is called the sample space, denoted by S.

  • Event Definition

    An event is any subset of a sample space S. For example, getting an even number when rolling a die is the event E={2,4,6}E = \{2, 4, 6\}.

  • Impossible and Sure Events

    An impossible event is represented by the empty set ϕ\phi, and its probability is P(ϕ)=0P(\phi) = 0. A sure event is the entire sample space S, and its probability is P(S)=1P(S) = 1.

  • Simple and Compound Events

    A simple or elementary event is an event with only one sample point. A compound event is an event with more than one sample point.

  • Algebra of Events: 'A or B'

    The event 'A or B' represents the union of two events, ABA \cup B. It occurs if A occurs, or B occurs, or both occur.

  • Algebra of Events: 'A and B'

    The event 'A and B' represents the intersection of two events, ABA \cap B. It occurs only if both A and B occur simultaneously.

  • Algebra of Events: 'not A'

    The event 'not A', or the complementary event of A, is denoted by AA'. It represents all outcomes in the sample space S that are not in A, so A=SAA' = S - A.

  • Mutually Exclusive Events

    Two events A and B are mutually exclusive if they cannot happen at the same time. Mathematically, their intersection is empty: AB=ϕA \cap B = \phi.

  • Exhaustive Events

    Events E1,E2,...,EnE_1, E_2, ..., E_n are exhaustive if their union forms the entire sample space: E1E2...En=SE_1 \cup E_2 \cup ... \cup E_n = S. This means at least one of these events must occur.

  • Axiomatic Approach to Probability

    Probability P is a function that satisfies three axioms: (i) For any event E, P(E)0P(E) \ge 0. (ii) P(S)=1P(S) = 1. (iii) If E and F are mutually exclusive events, P(EF)=P(E)+P(F)P(E \cup F) = P(E) + P(F).

  • Probability for Equally Likely Outcomes

    For an experiment with a finite sample space S where all outcomes are equally likely, the probability of an event A is given by P(A)=n(A)n(S)P(A) = \frac{n(A)}{n(S)}, where n(A)n(A) is the number of outcomes favorable to A.

  • Probability of a Complementary Event

    The probability of the event 'not A' is calculated using the probability of event A. The formula is P(A)=1P(A)P(A') = 1 - P(A).

  • Addition Rule of Probability

    For any two events A and B, the probability of 'A or B' is given by the formula P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B).

  • Addition Rule for Mutually Exclusive Events

    If events A and B are mutually exclusive, then P(AB)=0P(A \cap B) = 0. The addition rule simplifies to P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B).

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